STATE OF THE MARKETS

Stocks closed Q1 in red. US stocks fell on Thursday to close the first quarter in red as bonds lost bids, sending yields higher across the board. Dow (-1.56%), S&P (-1.57%), and Nasdaq (-1.54%), including Russell (-1.00%) were under selling pressure to cash out as bond buyers stayed on the sideline. Yields inversion between 3Y (2.51%), 5Y (2.46%), 7Y (2.44%) with 10Y (2.36%) and 30Y (2.45%) remains while the 2Y stalled at 233 basis points. The rush to cash was evident as the Dollar index jumped back above 98.50 at writing.

In the commodities market, crude fell to around $100.30/bl after news hit the wires that the White House is releasing the US strategic petroleum reserves. Gold and iron ore continue to climb higher as inflation continues to plague the markets. Gold settled above $1,936.80/oz, while iron ore above $150.80/tn.

In the FX space, short and medium term accounts saw return of the Dollar to demand territories alongside Loonie, Euro and Swiss while Aussie and Kiwi were pushed to the back burner. Long term sentiments were unchanged.

On Friday, the war will continue to be in the spotlights while markets look for earnings reports from Charah Solutions (CHRA), Milestone Scientific (MLSS), and NextDecade (NEXT) as well as the very much awaited US non-farm payroll and job markets data.


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G8 CURRENCIES SENTIMENTS

ST USD CAD GBP CHF JPY AUD NZD EUR ST
MT EUR CHF CAD USD AUD NZD JPY GBP MT
LT AUD NZD CAD USD CHF EUR GBP JPY LT
** ST refers to Short-Term daily turnover, MT is Medium Term weekly 
and LT refers to Long-Term monthly turnover.


WALL ST MOST ACTIVE

TICKER LAST PRICE

% CHANGE

VOLUME 90 DAYS AVG
MULN 2.98 – 1.65 260,821.5K 74,843.2K
CLVS 2.02 + 22.42 211,803.0K 4,698.9K
HYMC 2.30 – 3.77 187,829.1K 29,616.4K
AMD 109.34 – 8.29 147,004.7K 86,827.0K
LGVN 13.80 + 105.36 137,366.9K 6,252.6K
SPY 451.64 – 1.54 121,699.9K 106,492.0K
AAPL 174.61 – 1.78 103,049.2K 100,022.8K
AMC 24.64 – 4.05 89,239.0K 52,812.9K
SQQQ 33.67 + 4.18 85,437.9K 67,386.8K
TQQQ 58.18 – 4.14 84,049.4K 116,411.0K
** % Change here refer to price


WALL ST TOP FLOWS

TICKER LAST PRICE

VOLUME

% CHANGE FUNDS FLOW $
AAPL 174.61 103,049.2K + 6.18 17,993.4M
TSLA 1,077.60 16,330.9K – 35.47 17,598.2M
AMD 109.34 147,004.7K + 40.57 16,073.5M
NVDA 272.86 52,344.0K – 0.99 14,282.6M
MSFT 308.31 33,422.0K + 3.80 10,304.3M
AMZN 3,259.95 2,998.2K – 18.48 9,774.0M
FB 222.36 24,192.2K – 25.50 5,379.4M
GOOGL 2,781.35 1,876.2K + 14.65 5,218.4M
GOOG 2,792.99 1,475.8K + 3.74 4,121.9M
BABA 108.80 31,240.2K – 42.77 3,399.2M
** % change here refers to volume


TOP 5 BLOCK ORDERS

SYMBOL PRICE TYPE R/VOL FUNDS FLOW $
CLVS 2.02 equities/options 123.84 427.8M
BILI 25.58 equities/options 95.07 274.9M
FLEX 18.55 equities/options 52.67 376.3M
GC 1,940.60 gold futures 8,992 17.5M
KE 1,038.60 red wheat futures 364 14.1M


OUR PICK – No New Pick

No new pick going into the weekend. With the inversion of the yield curves, at the same level of risks, it’s more profitable to invest in the short-term than in the long term. Another week of outflows from US equity (-$2.29 billion) and taxable bonds (-$117 million) going into short-term money markets (+$29.82 billion) proves that investors are in desperate attempts to overcome inflation. We see dividends stocks and commodities to continue to be in demand for the months to come.

Trades updates:  

Equities: AUY (18% undervalued, 2.16% yields) was well bid and only break below $5 would suggest further pullback to $4.50, we remain bullish CTRA (COG) (22% undervalued) yielding 2.21%, T (15% undervalued) at 4.60% yields, MO (21% undervalued) at 6.92% yields, VIPS (46% undervalued with 4.79 z-score), CRON (24% undervalued with 27.69 z-score) and WBA (31% undervalued, 4.02% yields).

FX & Commodities: USD/CHF didn’t work out as planned while we remain bullish silver.

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HORIZON STRATEGY SL TP1 TP2
Short-Term
Medium-Term
Long-Term

 

Risk Disclaimer:

This article is for general information purpose only. It is not an investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities/oz. Opinions expressed are of the authors and not necessarily of MFM Securities Limited or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

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